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Forty-Three In, Fourteen Signed

Riyadh’s New Maritime Alliance Has No Western Members and No Obligation to Sail

Saudi Arabia announced a Multinational Maritime Defence Alliance for the Bab al-Mandeb on Thursday. The declaration makes participation in operations a sovereign choice, and two wire services cannot agree on who signed it.

The Saudi Ministry of Defence announced the alliance in Riyadh on 30 July at the close of a meeting attended by chiefs of staff or their representatives from 43 countries plus the EU Delegation to Saudi Arabia. Fourteen states confirmed support and issued a joint declaration covering the Bab al-Mandeb, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden. The declaration says the alliance “does not target any state, alliance, or international organization,” that “the door remains open for other countries to accede to the coalition’s charter after completing their national procedures,” and — the operative line — that participation in operational activities “will remain a sovereign decision for each member state in accordance with its national laws.” Saudi Arabia is expected to host the headquarters; planners from prospective members are still drafting the charter, command-and-control arrangements and operational framework. This is a declaration of intent, not a standing force.

The signatory list is disputed in the wire copy. Qatar News Agency and The New Arab, citing the Saudi joint statement, list Bahrain, Bangladesh, Djibouti, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Nigeria, Pakistan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Türkiye and Yemen. Anadolu Agency substitutes the Comoros and omits Nigeria and Sudan. Both claim to reproduce the same document. Absent from every version: the United States, the United Kingdom, France, India and China. “Yemen” here means the internationally recognised government — a party to the Yemeni civil war. The Houthis declared a maritime blockade on Saudi Arabia on 20 July and subsequently claimed attacks on Saudi-linked tankers in the Red Sea and on oil infrastructure inside the kingdom.

Assessment: The sovereign-decision clause is what makes this cheap to sign and hard to use. Forty-three states came; fourteen put their names to a document that commits none of them to send a hull. Read alongside the existing Aspides and Prosperity Guardian frameworks, the absence of Washington, London and Paris is the design, not an oversight: Riyadh is building a maritime coalition it can point at without importing an American command structure, at the moment Saudi crude depends on the Bab al-Mandeb because Hormuz is choked. Distrust the membership list until the ministry publishes it. When two state agencies transcribe fourteen names differently, at least one is working from a briefing rather than the paper.