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Pause, Then Resumption

The El Obeid Ground Assault Restarts After a Halt Reuters Attributes to International Pressure

Witnesses say the RSF resumed its ground attack on El Obeid on Wednesday, weeks after suspending it. Military sources tell Reuters both armies have massed fresh forces in Kordofan.

Reuters reported that the RSF renewed its ground assault on El Obeid on Wednesday, having halted the attack in recent weeks under what the Arabic wire text describes as international pressure. The same copy records military sources and witnesses saying both the army and the RSF have recently moved additional forces into Kordofan, raising the likelihood of renewed clashes. The sequencing matters: the pause followed the army’s late-July push that drove the RSF west off the 400-kilometre highway linking Khartoum to El Obeid, and Mada Masr reported on 1 August that two days of fighting inside a 300-square-kilometre triangle in North Kordofan returned five towns to the army and dismantled one of the RSF’s principal logistics corridors — the largest ground offensive, it wrote, since Khartoum was retaken last year.

After those losses, RSF commander Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo pledged his men would intensify attacks until they reached Khartoum, a vow the Council on Foreign Relations tracker logs from Sudan Tribune. Nothing in that is an operational fact. What is documented is the cost of the siege on both sides of the ledger. The office of High Commissioner Volker Türk counted 15 drone strikes on El Obeid and surrounding areas in three weeks of June, killing at least 45 civilians. On 2 August a Sudanese army drone struck a traditional court in the Ghurra Zawia area of Kabkabiya locality, North Darfur: the rights group Emergency Lawyers documented at least 37 killed, the figure OCHA cited; UN News relayed OCHA quoting international media at at least 35.

Assessment: Reuters offers two framings that pull in opposite directions and does not choose between them: a force that stopped because outsiders leaned on it, and a force that restarted because it was losing. Read the resumption as pricing rather than strategy. Massad Boulos’s proposals drew an RSF answer on 14 July accepting a three-month truce while refusing to give back captured ground; renewed pressure on El Obeid is the cheapest way to keep that asymmetry standing. The Kabkabiya figures are the discipline check on this desk’s own copy: the deadliest single documented strike of the past fortnight was flown by the army, and its casualty count is already contested by one to two dead.