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Tempo and Target

Five sanctions tranches in seven months, and an organisation its own critics describe as splitting

Washington’s designation machine has moved five times since January. The body it is designating has had two rival leaderships since 2021 and its Supreme Guide in prison.

The sequence is documentary. Executive Order 14362 was signed 24 November 2025. On 13 January 2026 State and Treasury designated the Lebanese, Jordanian and Egyptian chapters, with the Lebanese al-Jamaa al-Islamiyah listed as both a Foreign Terrorist Organization under INA §219 and a Specially Designated Global Terrorist. Further OFAC tranches followed on 21 January and 12 March; the Sudanese Islamic Movement and its al-Baraa Bin Malik Brigade were designated SDGT on 9 March with FTO status effective 16 March; Treasury targeted flotilla organisers and Brotherhood networks on 19 May. On 23 July OFAC designated Mahmoud Al-Ebiary — described by Treasury as a UK-resident Brotherhood leader and Secretary-General of its General Secretariat — alongside three individuals and three entities, two of them characterised as sham charities. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said those “operating under the guise of charities, businesses, or underground financial networks” would be “exposed, sanctioned, and held accountable.” Thirty-four days have passed without a sixth tranche.

The parallel track is sub-federal and moving faster. Texas Governor Greg Abbott issued a proclamation on 18 November 2025; Attorney General Ken Paxton sued the Muslim Brotherhood, the CAIR Foundation, CAIR-Texas and three chapters in Collin County district court on 5 February, seeking injunctions. CAIR sued the Florida governor over a state designation in July. On 12 August Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt signed an executive order directing an investigation and possible state designation; KOSU noted that CAIR was not accused of a crime and that the order offers no proof of collusion with terrorist groups. Meanwhile The Economist reported in early August, as summarised by OnTime Brief on 11 August, that the Brotherhood is at its weakest since the Arab Spring and split into two rival leaderships, with Supreme Guide Mohammed Badie imprisoned. An Arabic analysis in NewsYemen dates the open split to 2021.

Assessment: Two curves running opposite directions. The legal architecture is thickening at exactly the moment the organisation it targets is least capable of coordinated action — which tells you the campaign is not primarily about capability. Watch where the next tranche points. Al-Ebiary was a UK resident designated through charitable structures, not a Cairo cadre; if a sixth tranche moves further toward Western-domiciled entities, the operative target is diaspora institutions, and the Canadian report cycle is the ideological front of the same push. What nobody has reported cleanly is who now claims the Guidance Bureau, and by whose recognition. That absence should make everyone cautious about naming what exactly is being designated.

The Brotherhood BriefMEFILES tracking
5US designation tranches since 13 January 2026
Evidence6 cited sources · US State Department · US Treasury · Texas Attorney General · KOSU
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The Brotherhood Brief · 36 editions since 19 July 2026 · 69 stories filed · 2 in this edition