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Launched From Maysan

Baghdad concedes the drones that closed Petroline flew from Iraqi soil

Iraq’s government confirmed on Saturday that the attacks which shut Saudi Arabia’s East–West pipeline originated inside the country, sacked at least one commander in Maysan and agreed to let Tehran join the inquiry.

The Associated Press and a Washington Post live file both reported on 12 September that Iraq’s government stated the attacks on Saudi Arabia’s East–West (Petroline) crude line were launched from Iraqi territory, and pledged to investigate further. Bloomberg, citing a statement from the prime minister’s office, reported that early on Saturday Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi fired the operations commander of Maysan province and ordered an investigation after finding that the attacks came from a site within the region, which borders Iran. Haaretz’s live file put the purge higher, reporting that Iraq dismissed both the military commander and the police chief in Maysan and closed the main border crossing there. Neither outlet named the officers, and no name appeared in any reporting retrieved for this brief.

The border closures are reported three ways and none of them fully agrees. The National reported Iraq ordered the closure of the Shalamcheh crossing with Iran — which lies in Basra governorate, not Maysan. The AP reported two crossings shut to all passenger and commercial traffic until further notice, attributing that count to Iran’s state-run media rather than to Baghdad. Separately, the Times of Israel’s live blog, citing the prime minister’s office, reported that Zaidi agreed to an Iranian request for a joint investigation into the discovery of drone launch platforms near the Iraqi-Iranian border; that item was retrieved from a single outlet and not from a wire or the PMO’s own feed. The National reported that President Trump said Iran was “probably responsible” for the attack; the full quote was not retrievable.

The event lands on an export system already narrowed to a thread. The Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung’s Iraq country report, published 12 August, put Iraqi crude exports at roughly 4.2 million barrels a day before February 2026, almost all of it through the Strait of Hormuz, and at about 1.45 million by May. On 30 August the Oil Ministry announced a one-year temporary agreement with Ankara to resume crude exports via Ceyhan, in force until a long-term contract is finalised, after the 1973 Iraq–Turkey pipeline agreement expired on 27 July — reported by Kurdpress, an Iranian-based Kurdish outlet, from the ministry’s statement.

Assessment: The confirmation matters more than the drones. Governments in Baghdad have spent two decades denying, deferring or blaming unknown groups; saying out loud that the launch site was Iraqi is an admission that the state does not police Maysan. A dismissed commander is the cheapest currency available — it costs Zaidi nothing with the faction that actually fired. The joint investigation with Tehran is the real move: it converts an Iraqi sovereignty failure into a bilateral technical file and seats Iran inside an inquiry into its own clients. Treat the crossing count as unverified — it traces to Iranian state media — and treat the absence of any officer’s name as deliberate.

Iraq FileMEFILES tracking
1.45mIraqi crude exports in bpd by May 2026, from ~4.2m before February (KAS)
Evidence6 cited sources · AP · Bloomberg · Haaretz live file · The National live file and 2 more
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Iraq File · 54 editions since 19 July 2026 · 33 stories filed · 2 in this edition